Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.004844 0.005323 0.005840 0.006441 0.007123 0.007876 0.008774
2025-10-19 0.004013 0.004665 0.005423 0.006376 0.007552 0.008972 0.010837
2025-10-26 0.003538 0.004266 0.005153 0.006328 0.007866 0.009846 0.012642
2025-11-02 0.003176 0.003939 0.004901 0.006229 0.008052 0.010524 0.014237
2025-11-09 0.002941 0.003735 0.004771 0.006252 0.008372 0.011391 0.016191
2025-11-16 0.002718 0.003522 0.004597 0.006185 0.008541 0.012040 0.017899
2025-11-23 0.002508 0.003304 0.004395 0.006047 0.008579 0.012481 0.019327
2025-11-30 0.002389 0.003201 0.004339 0.006111 0.008917 0.013417 0.021718
2025-12-07 0.002322 0.003164 0.004373 0.006307 0.009477 0.014776 0.025093
2025-12-14 0.002185 0.003017 0.004231 0.006214 0.009551 0.015314 0.027027
2025-12-21 0.002053 0.002866 0.004071 0.006077 0.009533 0.015679 0.028676
2025-12-28 0.001958 0.002765 0.003980 0.006042 0.009683 0.016365 0.031109
2026-01-04 0.001893 0.002710 0.003962 0.006139 0.010096 0.017641 0.035200
2026-01-11 0.001798 0.002602 0.003856 0.006076 0.010216 0.018372 0.038261
2026-01-18 0.001716 0.002509 0.003765 0.006032 0.010362 0.019174 0.041690
2026-01-25 0.001631 0.002408 0.003654 0.005938 0.010401 0.019751 0.044698
2026-02-01 0.001575 0.002349 0.003607 0.005960 0.010668 0.020867 0.049474
2026-02-08 0.001508 0.002268 0.003520 0.005896 0.010754 0.021585 0.053333
2026-02-15 0.001434 0.002174 0.003403 0.005767 0.010687 0.021931 0.056187
2026-02-22 0.001397 0.002138 0.003385 0.005827 0.011032 0.023332 0.062849
2026-03-01 0.001382 0.002137 0.003430 0.006012 0.011673 0.025596 0.073328
2026-03-08 0.001327 0.002065 0.003342 0.005925 0.011687 0.026223 0.078196
2026-03-15 0.001269 0.001987 0.003238 0.005796 0.011591 0.026539 0.082019